What do CLP nominations tell us about the Labour leadership race?

  New Statesman 

Image source : newstatesman.com
It's early days, but here are some pointers. " data-adaptive-image-768-img="" data-adaptive-image-1024-img="" data-adaptive-image-max-img=""> Constituency Labour parties have begun nominating candidates for the vacant party leadership. In the past, these have proved a pretty good yardstick as to who the eventual winner among Labour party members will be, accurately reflecting the winner at every election since at least 1988. However, they are not a perfect indicator and we have just nine nominations in so far. Here are some general thoughts about what I have observed covering this stage of a Labour leadership race before and how I think we should view them this time. It’s better to see these results as probabilistic rather than definitive If, in 2016, you had gathered 100 Labour members in any part of the country together, and asked them to vote for who they wanted as leader, you’d expect sixty of them to be backing Jeremy Corbyn, and forty to
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